Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 225.367670 253.468983 284.547405 321.614473 364.810681 413.788350 473.846858
2025-04-06 181.619247 218.304679 262.386762 319.839593 393.597571 486.289236 613.489110
2025-04-13 151.786781 190.083010 238.551109 305.425678 396.954977 520.342113 703.687796
2025-04-20 139.618013 181.114045 236.050380 315.773392 431.393564 597.729110 864.376900
2025-04-27 131.173590 175.412827 236.322102 328.755743 470.009939 685.802017 1057.557843
2025-05-04 120.775928 165.536015 229.166045 329.374547 489.413327 746.853566 1219.400630
2025-05-11 109.674848 153.363961 217.120112 320.660394 492.266407 780.770450 1340.512318
2025-05-18 100.762472 143.477656 207.314815 313.955590 496.903762 817.567504 1473.812081
2025-05-25 96.764475 140.534966 207.680240 323.414236 529.804133 909.166638 1735.318975
2025-06-01 91.164818 134.583160 202.649673 323.096948 545.084581 970.212744 1948.179275
2025-06-08 85.147741 127.464526 195.049615 317.394793 549.465008 1010.355679 2124.333756
2025-06-15 81.062817 123.114063 191.587254 318.531836 566.786024 1079.443892 2387.407628
2025-06-22 75.856975 116.648774 184.191759 312.042107 568.873493 1118.026525 2589.634510
2025-06-29 71.898025 111.991278 179.540633 310.214094 580.268904 1179.588720 2873.870123
2025-07-06 66.419972 104.389197 169.141428 296.335862 564.545936 1175.879808 2972.882006
2025-07-13 65.019286 103.674422 170.904730 306.303880 601.429873 1304.706229 3513.457388
2025-07-20 64.041798 103.608084 173.801414 318.806320 645.839925 1462.274384 4215.002667
2025-07-27 61.528037 100.635544 171.063934 319.402138 662.868320 1552.096560 4725.317284
2025-08-03 58.073220 95.755350 164.375848 311.010753 657.311638 1579.014111 5015.720850
2025-08-10 55.115992 91.615291 158.826034 304.552946 655.671804 1617.005215 5368.774990
2025-08-17 54.183858 91.145730 160.341029 313.662806 694.385180 1782.663114 6342.031191
2025-08-24 52.251857 88.689245 157.759923 313.357256 708.788236 1877.688984 7059.465768
2025-08-31 49.896758 85.303255 153.095924 307.865600 708.671343 1926.570984 7586.787649